The Week Ahead: 80s Thru Wed, then a Big Cold Front (Storms?)

Monday – Thursday

High temps will be in the low 80s, with only a slight chance of an afternoon/early evening shower or thunderstorm Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday.

Here’s the NWS weather-speak for Monday through Thursday:

LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASING AND INSTABILITY...ESPECIALLY IN THE
AFTERNOON...LIKELY TO SPELL ISOLATED-SCATTERED STORMS THRU THAT
PERIOD, ALTHOUGH MOST LOCATIONS WILL BE DRY.

The Big Cold Front

Our NWS expects a cold front to arrive during the wee hours of Friday morning.  The storm is expected to have little CAPE (thunderstorm building blocks), but there will be a lot of wind shear and plenty of moisture to work with.

This means

[WE] COULD SEE LOCALIZED SEVERE STORMS AS WELL AS MINOR FLASH FLOODING.

The Storm Prediction Center still has not included us in a severe weather outlook, but we’re too far away from the potential storms to draw any conclusions from that.

Here’s NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center rainfall map (7pm Wednesday to 7pm Friday:

The Weekend

Dry & cooler. Friday’s high is forecast to be 59. Saturday’s high, 64.