FRIDAY LATE AFTERNOON – EARLY EVENING
Sprinkley rain may pull up. Meh.
SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY AFTERNOON
- Light & medium-intensity rain
- ETA mid/late Sat afternoon (phrase is intentionally vague!)
- Off and on for 24 hrs or so
- Most likely raining: Saturday night
- Not concerned about lightning or severe weather
The problem: I’m not sure when it will stop. Most of the rain should be gone by Sunday mid-morning, but for the rest of Sunday we could get a stray shower. Poncho up, fans. Tailgates need tents!
COLD MORNINGS
Warming trend: check out the highs.
RAIN THIS WEEKEND
… a trailing cold front will approach Middle Tennessee on Saturday afternoon with likely rain chances late Saturday through Sunday morning.
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Behold below! Another sourced forecast from available model data + NWS-Nashville guidance. Delivered with fear and trembling.
- Nature will not be mocked by my assurance.
- Read with collective humility.
- Abandon preparation and vigilance only after we conquer the future.
- We have not conquered the Middle Tennessee snowglobe future.
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING (AS IN, TOMORROW)
Snow, brief and inconsequential.
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Rain – maybe heavy at times – expected before dawn Tuesday morning.
- AM rush hour may be rainy.
- Umbrellas for the bus stop esp for you earlybirds.
- Those red returns on the HRRR model below may be capable of dropping around 0.25″ to 0.5″ in a few spots. Nottabigdeal and it may miss us.
- Gone before lunch, knock on wood. Day looks dreary.
Disclaimer
Very light showers Tuesday night may become a narrow band of snow early Weds morning.
- No accumlulation expected.
- Ground too warm.
- Snow too scattered, brief, not enough of it.
- Oh I suppose some may see a 0.1″ or less but think this will not impact travel.
Temps plummet Weds and Thurs …
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A fairly consistent, heavy at times will move into the area this evening – providing us with beneficial rain. No severe/winter weather concerns.
The HRRR (below) conveys what the radar might look like thru Monday AM.
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For the first night in a while, we won’t get below freezing. Still chilly though with lows getting into the mid 30s.
Still expecting two rounds of rain, starting on Sunday.
Round One – Sunday Evening thru Monday Morning
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Still very cold for Saturday morning, waking up to temps in the low 20s, but temps recover nicely – getting around 50° for the afternoon.
The warming trend will continue into early next week, but rain chances are introduced as well.
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Temperatures will likely bottom out in the 14° – 17° range overnight into the early morning hours of Friday. Bundle up for the bus stop, AM commute – frostbite can set in quickly.
Highs on Friday not too kind either, only getting into the mid 30s.
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Winds, gusty at times, from the SW have gotten slightly milder temps in today as we reached the mid to upper 50s today.
Unfortunately, this mild air will soon be ushered away as a cold front pushes thru tonight and bring artic air into the area.
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It was a half Blerg today, clouds finally cleared out this afternoon – but temps remained cold, hardly making it above freezing.
Wednesday will be slightly “warmer” with highs in the low to mid 50s. We could see a few sprinkles (liquid) Wednesday evening that make you turn on the windshield wipers a couple of times, but nothing more than that.
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