BNA officially ended October with 0.49″ of rainfall, not very much. Your backyard could’ve seen more/less, just depends on location.
Stubborn clouds that have finally cleared kept the temps down today, with highs only in the upper 60s for most.
Category: Featured Blog
Soggy Candy Getting Possible, Warmer Than Usual Start to November
Happy Halloween!
A line of rain (heavy at times) is quickly approaching, bringing us our second rain chance of the month.
You can check the radar anytime on our website here: Radar | Nashville Severe Weather
Latest Look at the Halloween Forecast
Rain is likely on Halloween – just the exact timing is still up in the air.
Best way to get a grasp on timing is to dive in the models, which can still be wrong!
The latest HRRR model (below) shows a line of moderate rain moving thru during the afternoon and evening, mostly out by 8pm or so, with lingering on/off showers possible.
Wet Trick or Treating Possible
Models continue to indicate that we could be in for some rain Thursday afternoon and evening. While exact timing is still iffy, current guesstimates are not the best news for trick or treating.
The Euro (left) and GFS (right) continue to be quite consistent in agreement with rain in the area during prime trick or treat time.
Umbrella Costume Could Be The Move This Year
Models continue to indicate Halloween may be a wet one.
While the week up until Thursday will be dry, a cold front will approach us and bring us our rain chances.
The GFS, Euro, and ICON model continue to be consistent with timing, showing a rainy time for candy getting. While the NAM model thinks maybe the rain holds off just a tad, allowing for some dry trick or treating.
Wet Halloween Looking More Likely
It May Rain for Trick or Treat
Radar estimated rainfall had about 0.75″ on average across Will Co from this morning’s lightningstorm. Needed it, but the timing stunk. Others got 0.25″ or so across Nashville.
Expect temps Sunday morning 13° colder than this morning. (This does not say it will be minus 13 tomorrow morning, it’s a 24 hour temp change graf).
Perhaps A Shower Saturday Morning, Way Too Early Look at Halloween Forecast
Cold Front Friday Brings Slightly Cooler Temps + Chance of a Shower
Maybe a Sprinkle Friday Night - Saturday Morning?
Still our only rain chance in the next 7 days is the potential for a sprinkle, maybe a quick shower Friday night thru Saturday morning.
“NBM has a slight chance pop for Friday night in our northern counties, but a shower appears possible area wide Friday night into Saturday per GFS/ECMWF.” – NWS Nashville AFD