Summary:

• A Wind Advisory and Flood Watch will go into effect tonight at 7p and go thru 7a Saturday
• Wind gusts up to up to 40 mph will be possible, strongest winds most likely Friday afternoon & evening
• Rainfall totals from tonight – Saturday, likely in the 2-4″ range – maybe less, maybe more
• Heaviest rain expected tonight – midday Friday, localized flooding possible, no widespread issues expected
• No tornado concerns, lightning unlikely
• We have no clue if your flight will be delayed/canceled

A rough timeline (!that could change!)

• This evening: rain begins, increasing in coverage and intensity
• Overnight tonight: fairly consistent rain, heavy at times
• Friday AM: heavier rain continues, winds will likely start to pick up
• Friday midday: on/off heavy rain continues, 30-40mph wind gusts possible
• Friday evening: the rain begins to lighten up, 30-35mph wind gusts still possible
• Saturday: scattered showers possible throughout the day, winds will let up

Now for the deets.

Latest HRRR model expects rain to begin tonight around 6p, +/- an hour or so.

A steady, consistent rain will continue throughout overnight and continue into Friday. read more

A couple of showers are possible thru this evening, but I think most of the activity stays to our west. Outdoor activities should be okay besides maybe a quick shower. You can always check the radar on our website: Radar | Nashville Severe Weather read more

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be in effect until 8pm tonight.

• scattered damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph possible
• isolated large hail
• a “tornado or two” is also possible inside the entire watch area – I think that threat is mainly north of us

We’ll be covering this on X/IG. If either part of our county is included in a warning, we’ll go live on our YouTube channel. You can always view the radar on our website by using this link. Lightning + heavy rain will also be possible with any storm – could lead to some rainouts, depending on where the heaviest rain falls. read more

Some showers and storms are possible today, chances are higher along and N of I-40, but anywhere in our two counties could see some rain today.

One or two storms could briefly reach severe limits with damaging straight-line winds and maybe some small hail, no tornado concerns. The Storm Prediction Center has both our counties outlooked with a 5% chance of damaging straight-line winds and/or hail within 25 miles. read more

Fall officially began at 7:44am this morning, but it certainly has not felt like it today with high temps in the low 90s.

Scattered showers, maybe a storm possible thru this evening, but most of us will stay dry. read more

Hot this weekend with temps in the low 90s. Fall officially arrives at 7:43p on Sunday, but it won’t feel like it. “Fall-like” temps hold off until middle of next week.

Low chance of a shower this weekend. Most of us stay dry, but a few of us could get a quick shower. NBD – no need to alter outdoor plans. read more

Above-average temperatures will continue thru the weekend, getting back to around average by the middle of next week.

The transition of seasons never goes smoothly around here.

Some of the CAMs have introduced a very low chance of a stray shower passing this weekend, most likely in the afternoon and evening. I see no need to alter any outdoor plans, but just more of a heads up – majority of us will stay dry and hot. read more

No improvement with today’s drought monitor update, as both our counties continue with a Moderate to Severe Drought.

Drought conditions are expected to worsen as very little rain is in the forecast. read more

While the temps haven’t been just unbearable, it just doesn’t quite feel like Fall just yet. And it won’t over the next several days.

Starting tomorrow (Thursday), we should see afternoon high temps reach 90° several days, including this weekend, adding onto our already above-average total of 90°+ days in 2024. read more

High temps slowly climbing to the low 90s by this weekend, about 10° above average for this time of year (82°).

Dewpoints will be in the low to mid 60s, so those low 90s won’t be unbearable.

Unfortunately, still no meaningful rain chances to talk about. Rain might come back in the forecast by early to mid next week, but too soon to tell. read more