Perhaps A Shower Saturday Morning, Way Too Early Look at Halloween Forecast

Daily record high of 84° at BNA was broken today – we got all the way up to 87°. Late October or May? A strong SW wind has helped really get those temps up today – gusting to 20 mph at times. Winds should relax as we get closer to sunset.

A cold front will arrive overnight and bring a small chance of a shower Saturday morning.

HRRR and Euro models think we have a pretty solid chance at breaking our 26-day rainless streak, while the GFS thinks the overwhelming majority of us stay dry.

Who is right, no one knows. Even if we do see some rain, totals will be light and be of little significance. I see no need to alter any outdoor plans, but maybe a rain jacket or umbrella will come in handy.

Regardless of if the cold front brings us a shower, it will bring us some relief from the 80s for a couple of days. High temps only in the low 70s for Saturday and Sunday. Certainly, better than 87°.

Our next rain chances will be Halloween or perhaps early November – models disagree on timing, per usual ~ 6 days out.

Models disagree if a ridge keeping us dry will stay in place or nudge east enough to bring us some rain chances. This far out – who knows. Maybe planning a costume that involves a rain jacket won’t be the worst idea? Average high temp on Halloween is 67°, we are likely to be well above average.

Charlie Brown Halloween GIF

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