What A Difference A Year Makes, Rainy Christmas Expected

A year ago today, I wrote the blog about temperatures expected to get around 0°, wind chills -20° to -30°, with a Winter Storm Warning along with it. NWS Nashville put together a page about this event, you can click here if you’d like to read.

This time around, temperatures aren’t expected to dip below freezing the next 6 days.

As we are only 3 days away from Christmas (sidenote: where in the world did 2023 go), temperatures are in the low 60s, with plenty of sun, making it feel more like early fall.


High temperatures will yet again get up into the low 60s. While doing your last second Christmas shopping for the in-laws that are now apparently staying at your place, you may run into a few showers.

HRRR (above) shows on and off showers possible all day. These will be light and quick moving. An umbrella or rain jacket should suffice.

Christmas Eve:

High temperatures will soar into the mid 60s, not a record, but not very Christmas Eve like. There is an outside shot at a shower or two, but models think we’ll be dry for the day.

Christmas Day:


The GFS and the EURO model (Euro shown above) are both in good agreement that a soaking rain will accompany us throughout the morning hours. Rain should become more scattered after lunch, continuing throughout the evening. No severe weather in the forecast. Total rainfall in the 0.5″ – 1″ range, which is much needed.

Rain will exit the area on Tuesday, with low rain chances coming back later in the week.

Still too far out for a legit forecast of New Years, but long-range models are hinting at cooler and drier weather.

If you are looking to impress your family this holiday season, you can drop this crazy stat on them.

Quick References:

Weather changes constantly.
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