More Chances at Severe Weather + Flash Flooding Today

We yet again have chances for severe weather and flash flooding today.

The Storm Prediction Center has outlooked us with a:

  • 15% chance of damaging straight-line winds within 25 miles
  • 5% chance of severe hail within 25 miles
  • 2% chance of a tornado within 25 miles

Additionally, the Flood Watch that was originally set to expire at noon has been extended until 6pm. “Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible…” Head on a swivel, especially if you live in a flood-prone area. Turn around, don’t drown.


Timing is tough to nail down, HRRR model keeps flipping back and forth.

This particular run of the HRRR model thinks there’s a rough ETA of 1-3pm. This will likely need to be adjusted. Another run shows storm chances holding off until 5 or 6. We’ll be Tweeting updates as needed. Stay connected!

What To Do

If you have outdoor plans this afternoon and evening, it’ll be especially important to pay attention and keep an eye on the radar. You do not want to get caught driving or outside in a storm.

Our main threat today will be damaging straight-line winds, tornado chances are very low, but not zero. Please heed all warnings, even if it’s “just a Severe Thunderstorm Warning.” Damaging straight-line winds can cause just as much damage as a low-end tornado.

As always, if either part of our two counties is gets a warning, we’ll go live on YouTube.

Keep phones charged.

Have multiple ways to receive warnings: weather radio, app, WEA Alerts. The more the better.

Look at the Weekend

Friday will be our last day of legit rain chances (best chances look to be afternoon/evening) before we finally get a chance to dry out. Temps and humidity combo will also be very nice for this time of year. Yes pls.

Quick References:

Weather changes constantly.
Follow @NashSevereWx on Twitter for any changes to this forecast.

Live coverage during tornado and severe thunderstorm warnings:

Look good.
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