Forecast Blogs

Three Chances For Severe Weather Tonight Thru Tuesday Night

The Weather Radio Broadcast in Nashville is down and will NOT be restored until AFTER this event. Your Weather Radio will NOT go off if there is a warning issued for you. Find alternatives such as the StormWatch+ app or another wake-me-up app.

We’re still expecting three chances for severe weather.

Round 1: Tonight, 6pm Thru Midnight

This is a fairly low chance of severe weather, as storms are expected to weaken upon arrival, if they even get here. They may miss us to the NW.

Round 2: 6am – Noon Tuesday

A line of storms will move through our area around 10-11am, but storms out ahead of the line cannot be ruled out. Best chances of severe weather look to be west of I-65. Damaging winds, a tornado or two, and isolated flash flooding are all possible.

Round 3: Tuesday evening into Tuesday night

The Storm Prediction Center has us outlooked with a

  • 5% chance of a tornado within 25 miles
  • 15% chance of damaging straight-line winds within 25 miles
  • 15% chance of flash flooding within 25 miles
  • we are not included in the hail outlook

Out of the three rounds, this looks to have the best chance for severe weather. Damaging winds, tornadoes, and isolated flash flooding are all possible. This will also be a nighttime threat, have a way to wake up if a warning is issued for you.

Round 2 and 3 could both be limited by the atmosphere not being able to recover quickly. Cloud cover and storms to the south could also limit severe chances.

We’ll be giving updates all today and tomorrow. Stay weather aware tonight through tomorrow night. Again, your weather radio will NOT go off if a warning is issued for you. Look into a wake-me-up app and make sure the Emergency Alerts on your phone are turned on.

Constant updates on Twitter, another blog will be out first thing tomorrow morning.

Quick References:

Weather changes constantly.
Follow @NashSevereWx on Twitter for any changes to this forecast.

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Categories: Forecast Blogs