Sunny Start Today, Could Finally See Some Rain in the Forecast

Posted on Wednesday, October 12, 2016 @ 5:54 pm by Caroline MacDonald

Current Radar

Tonight: Increasing Clouds, Chance of Showers Overnight

Showers are on approach, but still far enough to our Northwest that our evening plans look to be in the clear. Expect for clouds to continiue to increase as we move through the evening hours. Could begin to see some showers in the late evening hours, but the better chance lies overnight into tomorrow morning.

Temps will cool down into the upper 50s overnight.

Thursday: Slight Chance of Showers Early, Then Partly Sunny – Wake Up 58° High 72°

Our aforementioned cold front should pass through sometime in the early morning hours on Thursday, but if it is moving slower, it could potentially pass through by the early afternoon hours. With this cold front, brings those small scattered rain chances.

Latest run of the HRRR extends into the early morning hours tomorrows. The HRRR seems to think we could get some showers early tomorrow morning.

While we are not expecting a washout, we could see some scattered showers in the morning up to the lunch hours.

By the afternoon, clouds should begin to move out and we could get some sunshine to end the day.

Good news for tomorrow is that our high temperatures will cool back down to around average with highs expected in the low 70s.

Extended Outlook: Could See Some Showers to End the Week

An unsettled weather pattern comes into play once we reach the end of the work week heading into the weekend. We could see some limited instability (what we need for thunderstorms) on Friday and possibly again on Saturday.

Our Day 3 Quantitative Precipitation Forecast shows us probably seeing some rain at some point between Friday morning and Saturday morning.

Most models lately have been trending towards a generally wet Friday evening for Middle TN.

There is only a slight chance for us to see these showers and potentially non-severe thunderstorms, but the chance keeps increasing as we move closer to Friday. Wouldn’t change any outdoor plans you may have, but you may want to begin thinking of a rain plan just in case.