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Rainy Day, & A Peek At The Weekend

Today Showers & Thunderstorms  – High 81

A line of showers and thunderstorms has formed just ahead of a weak cold front. This system dumped a heavy rain (several inches in some places) in Memphis. It’s moving our way.

The HRRR thinks the steadiest rain will arrive in Davidson and Williamson Counties around 1 PM. However, we think the HRRR is overdoing things a bit. In fact, the NWS has been decreasing its predicted rainfall total this morning. Now, less than a half inch is expected.

18z sim rad

Between 7 PM and 10 PM the front will have pushed south of Nashville, but a deep pocket of moisture will stick around. This will cause scattered showers to be possible the rest of the night.

No severe weather is expected. Our NWS does not anticipate a need to issue a Flash Flood Watch.

By 10 PM, the NAM shows the main line of showers and thunderstorms south and east of Nashville, with a few scattered showers behind the front.

3z NAM sim rad

Friday Humid & Scattered Showers – Wake Up 68, High 78

Although the cold front will quickly hack away at our temps, it will take another day to dry us out. Humidity will persist and allow the possibility for scattered showers all day. The NWS believes showers will be “likely” during the day but only a “chance” overnight. That said, rainfall Friday should be much less than we see today.

Saturday Cool & Drying Out – Wake Up 62, High 77

We begin to lose that pocket of moisture. We should dry out by the afternoon. The NAM Shows a drier airmass over the Music City by 1 PM.

18z dew point

(Green = Dry, Blue = Humid)

Additionally, the NWS believes our chance for scattered showers will end around 1 PM.  Be sure to enjoy this cool and dry afternoon.

Sunday is expected to be cool and dry, under sunny skies!

Extended:

extended

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Categories: Uncategorized