Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)
Current Radar Loop
Temp & Rain Probabilities Next 36 Hours (auto-updating)
Today – Muggy, Showers & Thunderstorms – High 85
We are currently in the warm sector of a frontal system… This means warm moist air from the Gulf is being pumped into Middle Tennessee preceding the passage of a weak cold front.
The National Weather Service believes that the front and associated showers and storms will be on us during the afternoon hours. The Models are not showing much areal coverage, thus these showers will be strongest during the peak heating hours of the day.
Here is a look at the HRRR model’s simulated radar loop from 10 AM to 7 PM.
The showers and thunderstorms flare up once we reach the peak heating of the day (1 PM- 5 PM) and then linger with us overnight. The NWS believes the showers should tapper off by 11 PM. At this time the weak front should have pushed through Nashville…
The Storm Prediction Center does not think any storms will become severe in Tennessee.
Wednesday – Partly Sunny, Slight Chance Of Thunderstorms – Wake Up 69, High 88
Some showers may linger into the early morning hours on Wednesday…The NAM shows these showers completely pulling out of Middle Tennessee by 10 AM.
We will also have a very slight chance to see isolated showers and storms due to day time heating after 1 PM. Any showers that develop will be out of here by sundown.
Overnight we will be mostly cloudy.
Thursday– Partly Sunny Chance Of Showers & Thunderstorms – Wake Up 68, High 89
The National Weather Service thinks we will see the bulk of the action from showers and thunderstorms between 2 PM and 8 PM.
The NAM is showing showers closing in on Williamson and Davidson counties by 1 PM.
By sundown the rain will have dissipated over the Capital City and we will be mostly cloudy the remainder of the night.
The SPC is forecasting these storms not to be severe in nature.
Official Extended NWS Forecast:
Categories: Forecast Blogs