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Rain & Storm Chances

Current Official Hourly Observation (taken at :53 on the hour)

Current Radar Loop

Temp & Rain Probabilities Next 36 Hours (auto-updating)

TuesdayMostly Cloudy, Light Rain Possible – Wake Up 69, High 86 

We may see a few wee-hour showers, and perhaps another round of early morning showers. RAP model for 8 AM:

The National Weather Service forecasts that these showers will be an unorganized cluster of non severe storms.

We may also see more storms develop in the afternoon.

Total rainfall won’t be equally distributed and shouldn’t exceed 0.20″.

Wednesday – Hot – Wake Up 69, High 91

The heat index (“feels like” temp) will approach 93, but the good news is that the NWS has completely removed us from rain chances through sundown Wednesday night.

Wednesday Night/Thursday – Wake Up 72, High 84

Sometime late Wednesday night or early Thursday morning, a MCS (“mesoscale convective system” . . . that’s wxspeak for “a pile of thunderstorms”) will dive SE into Middle Tennessee:

It doesn’t look that tough in the above image, but our NWS said “strong storms cannot be ruled out.” So, maybe a few nocturnal thunderstorms, which are not currently expected to be severe.

Thursday — The Weekend: Drier Air

Once the above MCS passes, drier air is expected behind it, providing only a small risk of showers Friday and Saturday. This is according to the NWS forecast discussion, European model, and the GFS model.

Late Sunday/early Monday, we may see another line of showers & thunderstorms, but so far, so good for the weekend forecast (which was looking iffy last night).

This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter.

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