More Showers & Thunderstorms, An End In Sight

Bobby McIllece —  Saturday, April 18, 2015 11:23 am

Current Temps and Radar

Today – Rain Returns – High: 80°

A low pressure disturbance originating from the Texas will begin to impact Middle Tennessee after noon as it moves northeast. The National Weather Service believes that the chance for showers and thunderstorms will ramp up after 2 PM. Below is what the HRRR Model is showing at 3 PM.

WeatherBELL Models _ Premium Weather Maps - Mozilla Firefox 2015-04-18 10.18.10

The NWS believes that after 8 PM the disturbance will push far enough northeast for rain chances to become likely.

Sunday – The Rain Returns Late – Wake Up: 64°, High: 76°
We will experience a brief lull in the rain on Sunday morning as the low pressure disturbance moves north of Tennessee.

The rain chances pick back up as we head towards noon. Below is a look at the GFS model between 7 AM and 1 PM.

WeatherBELL Models _ Premium Weather Maps - Mozilla Firefox 2015-04-18 10.56.10

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk of severe weather for Nashville.

Storm Prediction Center Apr 18, 2015 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook - Mozilla Firefox 2015-04-18 10.23.55

For reference:

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A line of thunderstorms will push through Middle Tennessee overnight a head of a cold front and produce the chance for hail and damaging winds. Below is what the NAM 12 KM shows at 4 AM.

WeatherBELL Models _ Premium Weather Maps - Mozilla Firefox 2015-04-18 10.52.33

The forecast timing and severity may change slightly as we approach the event, but we will keep you informed.

Monday – Morning Rain, Afternoon Sun – Wake Up: 61°, High: 66°

We will have lingering showers and thunderstorms for much of the day. The NWS believes that we will begin to clear up after 1 PM and become partly sunny!

By 7 PM the NAM 12 KM model is showing Nashville to be completely rain free.

WeatherBELL Models _ Premium Weather Maps - Mozilla Firefox 2015-04-18 11.13.09

Between 7 AM Saturday through 7 AM Tuesday the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center believes we will accumulate an additional 0.5″ to 1.75″ of rain.

d13_fill.gif (GIF Image, 750 × 562 pixels) - Mozilla Firefox 2015-04-18 11.18.05

Extended: Sunny start to the week.

7-Day Forecast for Latitude 36.17°N and Longitude 86.78°W (Elev. 479 ft) - Mozilla Firefox 2015-04-18 11.21.01

This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.