Our abnormally warm stretch of weather continues. Today (Thursday) and Friday both near 80°, which will threaten the daily high records. We “cool” down a bit on Sunday post-cold front, but warm right back up into the mid to upper 70s by early next week.

Most of us stay dry today. Can’t rule out a stray shower, maybe even a storm, for a few folks though – but no hazardous weather expected.

Same story, different day regarding Friday. Most of us will stay dry again but can’t rule out one or two showers sneaking into the area.

Saturday certainly looks like the most active day in the forecast, with it being a good bet that everyone sees some rain.

The Storm Prediction Center has introduced a 5% chance of severe weather within 25 miles for Saturday. As mentioned in yesterday’s blog, models have been fairly consistent on thinking that at least some CAPE (storm fuel) will be available – but we are missing just about every other ingredient. Because of this, the only real threat will be for some damaging straight-line winds. Not worried about hail or tornadoes.

Timing wise, models are also coming more into agreement on this. Subject to change, but it looks like the line of showers/storms will move in sometime Saturday afternoon/evening. Any outdoor activities should probably get done in the morning or have a back-up indoor plan.

High-res models will continue to come into range later today and confidence will continue to increase. We will keep y’all updated with the latest information.

Low rain chances stick around Sunday thru Tuesday, really confined to the afternoons. We can get a little more specific as we get closer but not seeing any severe concerns.

Higher rain chances come around again on Wednesday as another cold front is expected to push thru. Still watching this timeframe for the potential for more strong storms, but there’s still a lot of model disagreements.

It’s about that time to “Spring Forward” again. Our clocks will jump forward one hour on Sunday at 2a. It’s a good time to check on your smoke alarm, carbon monoxide detector, and weather radio batteries.