Unfortunately, scattered showers are still in the forecast for today.
Here’s the HRRR model:
The NAM3 model keeps us a little drier.
Hope for the NAM3, but prepare for the HRRR today just in case more scattered showers find us.
Ladies and Gentlemen, I present Tropical Storm Barry.
BTW: Only the WMO names storms, and only tropical cyclones. When the weather channel does it in the winter they’re trying to scare old people.
Showers and storms do exist in the forecast today.
The HRRR model shows them firing up later this afternoon:
The NAM3 is a bit calmer, but still shows a shower passing over in the late afternoon:
Rain currently southwest, south, and southeast so far, but we could also see some showers today.
HRRR model predicts afternoon and evening scattered showers:
Some scattered storms later Sunday afternoon will be capable of heavy rain and strong winds, so have a backup plan in case you’re spending the day outside and find yourself under one of these pop-ups.
Unfortunately, we are looking at more possible showers and storms today.
Here’s the HRRR model:
The NAM3 shows much less development. Don’t count on this. We can hope for the NAM3, but to be on the safe side, I’d prepare for the HRRR today.
Today we can expect mostly cloudy skies and a high of 92°, though heat index will make it feel like 98°.
The HRRR model shows scattered showers and storms beginning later this afternoon around 2pm:
The HRRR shows some spotty showers beginning this afternoon (2 or 3pm):
Here’s the NAM3 model:
You may see a shower or you may not. If you do, it’ll be short lived and not a rainout.
We should have some clearing for the next few days.
We can’t completely rule out any pop-up showers. Some of you may get wet. But we aren’t concerned with any rain-outs or outdoor plan ruiners.
NWS-Nashville says:
“During the afternoon, short-range guidance depicts a few hit and miss thunderstorms, but nothing terribly organized. Instability, lapse rates, and moisture will be in place for thunderstorm development…however, low shear and weak mid-level ridging will work to keep storm coverage to a minimum. Any storms that do get going have the potential of becoming strong/severe with damaging winds and hail being the main concerns.”
Today we will see some rain and thunderstorms, some possibly severe.
Looks like two rounds.
The first round, early evening, but we aren’t sure about that.
The second round, later tonight, we’re more confident this will happen.
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