Probabilities

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
 Eastern Arkansas
 Southern Indiana
 Western and Central Kentucky
 Southeast Missouri
 Northern Mississippi
 Western and Middle Tennessee

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until
 900 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
 A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
 Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
 Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify along and ahead of a cold
 front moving across the watch area this afternoon and evening. The
 strongest storms will pose a risk of damaging wind gusts and a few
 tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles
 east and west of a line from 90 miles northeast of Bowling Green KY
 to 50 miles southeast of Little Rock AR. For a complete depiction of
 the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
 WOU7).