It will be a muggy Monday under a mostly cloudy. The high temperature will climb to 81° this afternoon with a dew point in the sticky upper 60s.
The surface low that is currently in the Gulf of Mexico is pumping in lots of moisture into our area today.
The HRRR model predicts a large complex of showers with some thunderstorms moving north. But, notice how it doesn’t want to form much/any rain over us.
Here is what the NAM4 model has after lunchtime:
Showers will continue throughout the afternoon into the evening hours. Take it easy on the work commute.
For tonight, we may hear a few rumbles of thunder. Moisture from the low in the Gulf will continue to move in while an upper level low will help development of thunderstorms through the overnight. None will be strong or severe, but overnight heavy rainfall looks increasingly likely.
The QPF shows the amount of rain (in inches) we will be receiving today through Tuesday night. We are expected about an inch here in Nashville with some locally heavier amounts.
Tuesday Looks Dreary
The high temperature will be slightly cooler due to overcast skies – topping out at 78°.
Dew points will be in the hairdo ruiner stage.
The morning commute looks like a wet one as the complex of showers continues to push north over our area. The models show the complex of showers over us during the morning commute. It looks like there will not be a break in the rain until the late evening on Tuesday.
A cold front is expected to pass through Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The winds will pick up a bit on Wednesday morning into lunchtime, ranging from 10 to 15 mph. There will not be a huge difference in dew points on Wednesday though. They will stay in the upper 60s throughout the day with a high of 75°. There will be a few isolated showers on Wednesday, but the chance will quickly decrease late afternoon into the evening.
You will really feel a difference by Thursday morning after the cold front. The drier air will begin to filter its way into the area with winds out of the north really bringing in the drier air.
Here is your extended forecast: The sun will return on Thursday with awesome conditions! Less humidity is on the way with a cooling trend as we end the week.
This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.
Categories: Forecast Blogs