Wet & Stormy Through Thursday

Wednesday – Some Strong Storms Possible – High 88

7am 73 . 10am 81 . 1pm 85 . 4pm 87 . 7pm 84 . 10pm 78

Wind damage, localized flooding and frequent lightning are all possible with any developing storms Wednesday. Thunderstorms should begin to fire in the early afternoon hours, and maybe even before that.

For example, the Hi-Res NAM model has storms firing of early in the morning. Here it is Wednesday 5 AM – 2 PM:

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The NAM model maybe overdoing things just a bit, especially for those morning storms. As always, keep to twitter (@NashSevereWx) for the latest.

There will be enough moisture in the atmosphere that, if things come together, someone could easily pick up an inch of rain in Middle Tennessee. Isolated flooding may be an issue.

The SPC puts us under a 5% chance of severe weather happening within 25 miles of you Wednesday:

day2probotlk_1730_any

Thursday – Scattered Strong Thunderstorms Possible – High 91

7am 73 . 10am 83 . 1pm 88 . 4pm 90 . 7pm 87 . 10pm 81

More strong to severe weather is possible. The front responsible for the rain and storms will continue to hang around. Hail and damaging winds are the main concern, along with the possibility of localized flooding and frequent lightning, inside any thunderstorm that develops.

SPC gives us a 5% chance of severe weather happening within 25 miles of you:

day3prob_0730