Bye, July! Hellloooo August!

Current Radar

TODAY – Lower Humidity & Plenty of Sunshine – High: 90º

We’ve had some pretty great weather today, considering it’s the last day of July. Bye, July!

Dew point temperatures have been in the 50°s this afternoon. So, even though temps have read around 90°, it hasn’t felt hotter than that.

No rain today (or for the next few days) as high pressure has really settled in:

Winds will pick up a bit this afternoon, at 10-15 mph from the north.

THIS EVENING – 86° by 7 PM 

It’ll be a pretty great evening with low humidity and cooler temperatures firmly in place.

Clear skies and a north breeze around 10 mph will provide even nicer conditions.

Lows overnight will fall back to the upper 60°s.

SATURDAY – Helloooo August! – Wake Up: 69º, High: 90º

Tomorrow will essentially be a repeat of today. Sunny skies, a breezy north wind, lower humidity, and no rain:

Not bad for the 1st day of August!

Lows will fall back to the upper 60ºs overnight.

SUNDAY – Nice End to the Weekend – Wake Up: 68º, High: 91°

By Sunday, humidity will be starting to rise ever so slightly, but it’ll still feel much less humid out there. The bump-up in humidity will be caused by our winds shifting back to southerly flow.

So, expect some more moisture in the air, but probably just in the form of a few more clouds in the sky.

Rain chances will remain pretty much non-existent through the start of the new week:

Extended: Warming Back Up A Few Degrees at a Time

This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.

Not as Humid & Not as Hot the Next Few Days

Current Radar

THIS EVENING – 84° by 7 PM 

“Cooler,” drier conditions will remain as we head into the evening hours.

Rain will continue to stay far, far away:

It should be a really nice night to get outdoors.

Lows overnight will fall to the mid to upper 60°s!

FRIDAY – Low Humidity & Sunny Skies – Wake Up: 67º, High: 90º

We’ll have some very nice conditions for the last day of July: sunny skies, dew points in the upper 50°s, and near-normal temperatures.

High pressure will continue to keep the rain well west of us:

SATURDAY – August 1st – Wake Up: 67º, High: 91°

August will begin on a “not-as-hot-as-it-could-be” note Saturday.

Humidity will start to creep back up every so slightly, but it will still be much nicer than what we dealt with earlier this week.

Plenty of sunshine will make it a great weekend for any and all outdoor plans!

Extended: Staying “Cooler” Through the Weekend

This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.

Heat Advisory & Marginal Severe Risk Today

Current Radar

THIS EVENING – 88° by 7 PM 

The Heat Advisory will remain in effect until 7 PM:

Warm & humid conditions will follow us into the evening hours, and we’ll stay dry…

…until later tonight when storms ahead of a cold front approach:

We may catch a storm, or maybe just hear the thunder from a distance.

Either way, the severe risk remains marginal until tomorrow morning:

Main concern with any storms will be strong winds:

THURSDAY – Cold Front Moves Through! – Wake Up: 75º, High: 90º

Storms should begin to fizzle as we head into the early morning hours:

Drier and somewhat cooler air will begin to filter in tomorrow morning as the front pushes off to our southeast.

It should be well out of our hair by noon:

We’ll see clearing throughout the day, as well as some drier air! That will really make the difference tomorrow afternoon, even though highs will still be in the 90°s.

FRIDAY – Hot Again – Wake Up: 66º, High: 89°

Slightly cooler and drier air will continue into Friday and the weekend!

The high pressure that will move in behind tomorrow’s front will squash rain chances at least through early next week.

Extended: Pretty Stellar Weekend Ahead

This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.

Very Hot Today & PM Storms

Current Radar

THIS EVENING – 76° by 7 PM 

Another cluster of non-severe thunderstorms looks to be making its way south from Kentucky. If the storms hold together, we may see them within an hour or so.

As things keep cooling off this evening, shower/storm activity should begin to diminish, especially after the sun sets (7:55 PM):

What is not “swag” is that we’re under a Heat Advisory:

But, it is expected to expire at 7 PM. It may be extended through tomorrow. We’ll let you know.

WEDNESDAY – Hot Again – Wake Up: 76º, High 94°

The heat returns tomorrow….

…with highs back in the mid 90°s and heat index values back in the 100°-105° range.

We’ll have to keep a close eye on those heat index values, because they’ll be getting awfully close to Heat Advisory territory tomorrow.

Good news: we’re expecting a cold front to push through the area late tomorrow/early Thursday!

Not so awesome news: it’ll be a pretty weak front, and won’t do a whole lot for our temps.

It will bring us another shot at PM showers and storms, though.

The severe risk is marginal:

Any showers/thunderstorms should hold off until later in the afternoon as a the front gets closer:

Rain is likely overnight as the boundary continues to move slowly through:

THURSDAY – A Bit Drier After the Front – Wake Up: 75º, High: 91º

Life after the front moves out early on Thursday won’t look much different.

However, you’ll probably notice less humidity in the air. Also, rain will stay to our south:

Extended: Nice Day (for July) on Friday

 

This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.

Tread Lightly Tuesday

Current Radar

Tue 95°, Wed 94° Oppressive Humidity, Small Rain Chances

Today dewpoints in the low 70°s will hang around Tuesday and Wednesday.

It’ll remain awful out there. The heat index (“feels like”) temp will range between 100° and 105° Tuesday and Wednesday.

Planning on something outside?

Each day, there’s a low chance for “heat of the day” thunderstorms. Just like today, high pressure was stamping down on the rising, humid air.

Thursday: A Cold Front!

Models agree: late Wednesday night or early Thursday morning, a weak cold front stretching all the way from eastern Canada will show up, setting off rain and maybe a few not-worried-about-it thunderstorms.

So, this?

Not quite. High temps through Friday through the weekend will knock our temps only down to around 90°, but the oppressive humidity will be gone. This should set up a typical summer weekend for the first of August.

This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.

Oppressive Humidity Arrives Tonight

Current Radar

Oppressive Humidity Arrives Tonight

The rain moving down I-24 this afternoon should be completely gone by sundown.

By 10 PM tonight, the dewpoint will rise to 73°.

That’s oppressive humidity.

Super Humid Monday High: 94°

The heat index will hit the triple digits by noon.

We do have a chance for some scattered showers in the area – mainly in the afternoon into the evening hours.

The NAM has a few brief pop-up showers around us on Monday around 7:00 PM.

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Make It Stop Tuesday High 94°

It will be a ponytail type of day for the ladies.

The heat index will reach 104° around 3:00 PM with winds fairly calm throughout the day.

The GFS and ECMWF weather models predict showers in the area by late afternoon.

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Cold Front Thursday

The defining weather moment of the weather week will be a cold front arriving Thursday. This will set off rain, and maybe some thunderstorms. It’ll also scour out the mid-week humidity, turning off the oven, only for it to slowly reheat into the first weekend of August.

This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.

Heat Index in the Upper 90°s This Afternoon

Current Radar

Today – Dry High: 93°

Another dry day across our area! The heat index will top out in the upper 90°s today around 3:00 PM.

Hot Popcorn (2)

As for the cloud cover – we will some high to mid level clouds sticking around today.

HRRR model has no showers for us! They will stay mainly east.

You are probably wondering if the complex of showers to the northwest will make it here. They may make it as far as NW Middle Tennessee, but our NWS (and the HRRR model, apparently), thinks high pressure will squash them.

Winds will stay calm again today with a muggy dewpoint.

Monday – Scattered Showers High: 94°

The upper level ridge continues to dominate! I recommend eating inside for lunch since the heat index will climb into the triple digits by noon.

We do have a chance for some scattered showers in the area – mainly in the afternoon into the evening hours.

The NAM has a few brief pop-up showers around us on Monday around 7:00 PM.

hires_ref_nashville_43

Tuesday – It’s Going to Feel Hot High: 94°

It will be a ponytail type of day for the ladies.

The heat index will reach 104° around 3:00 PM with winds fairly calm throughout the day. The GFS and ECMWF models have showers in the area by late afternoon.

Extended: The last week of July continues to stay warm with the heat index in the triple digits through Thursday. For Wednesday – the models show showers in the area around lunchtime. Of course we will let you know about timing as the week progresses!

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This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.

Heating Up

Current Radar

Tonight – Pleasant

  

Sunday – Dry – High: 94°

It is going to feel much warmer as the heat index climbs into the upper 90°s.

Upper ridge keeping us dry throughout the day with plenty of sunshine.

Monday – Rain Chances Return – High: 95°

The heat index is expected to get into the triple digits by the afternoon.

A surface boundary is forecast to move through our area Monday evening. GFS has a few scattered showers for us by the time the evening rolls around. The showers will be brief so no washout here!

Extended: Scattered showers expected on Tuesday. Warm conditions continue…

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This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.

I’m A Man. Therefore, Few Words

Current Radar

This Weekend

Tonight – Upper 70°s

Saturday – Sunny and Dry – High: 92°

Early:

By morning:

The afternoon:

Sunday – Keep It Going – High: 94°

Morning:

Afternoon:

Next Week: Rain Chances Return

This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.

Sunshine & Warm for the Weekend!

Current Radar

It’s Friday, y’all! A nice weekend is in store for you!

Today – Mostly Sunny and Humid High: 90°

We can all thank the upper level ridge sitting to our west. The dew point will be in the upper 60°s for the weekend, so it’ll continue to stay muggy. But not too muggy.

As for the winds – they are pretty calm today coming out of the NE.

Saturday – Sunny and Dry  High: 91°

High pressure still keeping us dry for Saturday, even though the muggy conditions will continue!

Great day to hit the pool!

So far for the month of July – our area has seen a total of 5.71 inches of rain, which is more than what we received in July of 2014. Our rain total for July is 2.94 inches above normal so far!

Sunday – Warmer, Lots of Sunshine High: 93°

The above average temperatures continue with sunny skies! Your church commute looks nice and warm by lunchtime.

So continue to rock the sunglasses!

Extended Forecast: Warming trend at the beginning of the week with scattered showers throughout our area. Rain chances could increase Tuesday evening into Wednesday during the day. As always, we will keep you updated!

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This website supplements @NashSevereWx on Twitter, which you can find here.